ISW: Russian missile overflights of Romania 'unlikely to prompt an escalation' between Russia and NATO
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- 11 February, 2023
- 08:15
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Russian missile overflights of NATO territory are highly unlikely to prompt an escalation, Report informs, citing the Institute for the Study of War.
Russian forces fired two cruise missiles from the Black Sea that reportedly crossed Romanian and Moldovan airspace before entering Ukrainian airspace.
ISW assesses that NATO (and individual member states) are in full control over its responses and the degree to which it chooses to escalate in response to accidental or intentional Russian overflights or other provocations.
ISW also continues to assess with high confidence that Putin does not seek a war with NATO and is unlikely to directly risk an escalation.
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